Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.24%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
