Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 19.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
