SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | TOP Oss |
38.51% ( -0.1) | 25.09% ( -0.04) | 36.4% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.42% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.91% ( 0.2) | 46.09% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.61% ( 0.19) | 68.39% ( -0.19) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( 0.04) | 23.66% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% ( 0.05) | 57.76% ( -0.06) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( 0.17) | 24.79% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.63% ( 0.24) | 59.37% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | TOP Oss |
| 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 38.51% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 36.4% |
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