Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 77.84%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 7.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.17%) and 1-0 (10.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
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