SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.63%) and 3-1 (5.23%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Dordrecht |
42.86% ( -1.61) | 22.22% ( 0.03) | 34.92% ( 1.58) |
| Both teams to score 67.92% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.69% ( 0.35) | 32.31% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.07% ( 0.41) | 53.93% ( -0.41) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% ( -0.46) | 15.87% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.91% ( -0.85) | 45.09% ( 0.85) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% ( 0.95) | 19.26% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.01% ( 1.54) | 50.98% ( -1.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.13)4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.86% Total : 42.86% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.11)3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.92% |
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