SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | FC Volendam |
52.67% ( 0.15) | 21.75% ( 0.06) | 25.57% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 63.46% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.37% ( -0.5) | 35.63% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.31% ( -0.56) | 57.69% ( 0.55) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.26% ( -0.13) | 13.73% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59% ( -0.25) | 41% ( 0.25) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( -0.42) | 26.44% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( -0.56) | 61.61% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.91% Total : 52.67% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.75% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.57% |
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