SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.97%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Dordrecht |
48.31% ( -1.29) | 21.21% ( 0.38) | 30.48% ( 0.9) |
| Both teams to score 69.8% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.91% ( -1.34) | 29.08% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.92% ( -1.65) | 50.08% ( 1.65) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( -0.86) | 12.77% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.94% ( -1.81) | 39.06% ( 1.81) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% ( -0.18) | 19.98% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.85% ( -0.3) | 52.15% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.11)4-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.31% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.48% |
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