SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Volendam in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 46.55% | 23.16% | 30.29% |
| Both teams to score 62.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.14% | 38.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.83% | 61.17% |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% | 17.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.8% | 47.19% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% | 24.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.45% | 59.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 5.45% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 4.16% Total : 46.55% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.25% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-1 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 4.1% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.29% |
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