Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
