Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.