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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 18, 2020 at 8pm UK
Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles
0 - 3
Jong Ajax


Lucassen (20')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (35' pen.), Brobbey (59'), Jensen (90+4')
Taylor (36'), de Waal (80'), Musampa (82'), Mendez (90+1'), Rasmussen (90+3')
de Waal (90+6')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and Jong Ajax.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 41%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawJong Ajax
41%23.41%35.59%
Both teams to score 63.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85%38.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58%60.42%
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.98%19.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.41%50.59%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41%21.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32%54.68%
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 41%
    Jong Ajax 35.59%
    Draw 23.4%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 8.67%
1-0 @ 6.82%
2-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 3.68%
3-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 41%
1-1 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 6.65%
0-0 @ 4.11%
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-1 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.57%
2-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.59%


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