Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.