Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
