Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 54.16%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
