Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.