Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roda JC in this match.
