Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
