Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
