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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2020 at 1pm UK
Parkstad Limburg Stadion
E

Roda JC
3 - 1
SBV Excelsior

Serrarens (24'), Vossebelt (52'), Goppel (69')
Serrarens (63'), Bouchouari (71'), Klaasen (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Roda JC and SBV Excelsior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.

Result
Roda JCDrawSBV Excelsior
42.02%23.5%34.48%
Both teams to score 62.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.15%38.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.83%61.16%
Roda JC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12%18.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65%50.34%
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5%22.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94%56.05%
Score Analysis
    Roda JC 42.02%
    SBV Excelsior 34.48%
    Draw 23.5%
Roda JCDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 8.81%
1-0 @ 7.08%
2-0 @ 5.9%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-2 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 3.92%
2-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 34.48%


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