Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.