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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2020 at 5.45pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
1 - 5
Jong Ajax

Deom (25')
Heerings (63'), Van Acker (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
de Waal (27'), Rensch (51'), Musampa (62'), Giovanni (67'), Unuvar (79')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong Ajax.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
33.42%22.69%43.89%
Both teams to score 65.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.89%35.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.88%57.11%
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68%21.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.73%54.27%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41%16.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6%46.4%
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 33.42%
    Jong Ajax 43.89%
    Draw 22.69%
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 7.59%
1-0 @ 5.47%
2-0 @ 4.23%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 33.42%
1-1 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 6.82%
0-0 @ 3.54%
3-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-1 @ 6.35%
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 5.28%
2-3 @ 4.08%
0-3 @ 3.42%
1-4 @ 2.37%
2-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.53%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.89%


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