Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-0 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
