Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.61%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 23.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.18%) and 0-1 (6.79%). The likeliest Telstar win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.