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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 22
Jan 14, 2022 at 7pm UK
Rabobank IJmond Stadion

Telstar
2 - 1
MVV

Plet (8'), Aktas (26')
Molenaar (73'), Smit (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Essers (90+1')
Essers (45+2'), Dzepar (45+2'), Zeegers (63'), Delferriere (75'), Mami (90+3')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and MVV Maastricht.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.

Result
TelstarDrawMVV Maastricht
58.99%22.14%18.87%
Both teams to score 52.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34%45.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02%67.98%
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.87%15.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.31%43.69%
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.93%38.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.16%74.84%
Score Analysis
    Telstar 58.98%
    MVV Maastricht 18.87%
    Draw 22.14%
TelstarDrawMVV Maastricht
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 6.25%
4-0 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.95%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-0 @ 1.15%
5-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 58.98%
1-1 @ 10.5%
0-0 @ 5.76%
2-2 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.14%
0-1 @ 5.56%
1-2 @ 5.07%
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 18.87%

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