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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2020 at 8pm UK
Rabobank IJmond Stadion

Telstar
6 - 1
Den Bosch

Soto (13', 29'), Plet (47'), Bronkhorst (67', 81'), van Velzen (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hornkamp (79')
van Moorsel (44'), Moreo Klas (65')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Den Bosch.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.

Result
TelstarDrawDen Bosch
50.24%23.92%25.85%
Both teams to score 56.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.56%45.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.23%67.78%
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.86%18.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.89%49.12%
Den Bosch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56%31.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18%67.83%
Score Analysis
    Telstar 50.24%
    Den Bosch 25.85%
    Draw 23.91%
TelstarDrawDen Bosch
1-0 @ 9.74%
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 8.31%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-0 @ 4.73%
3-2 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 50.24%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 5.71%
2-2 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.6%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 25.85%


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