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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 29, 2020 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
DR

Blackburn
3 - 2
Doncaster

Holtby (30'), Rankin-Costello (71'), Armstrong (81' pen.)
Lenihan (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Okenabirhie (54' pen.), Gomes (64')
Wright (44'), Anderson (56'), Halliday (70'), (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawDoncaster Rovers
41.76%25.96%32.27%
Both teams to score 53.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.3%50.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4%72.6%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95%24.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68%58.32%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48%65.52%
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 41.76%
    Doncaster Rovers 32.27%
    Draw 25.96%
Blackburn RoversDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.76%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.27%


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