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Championship | Gameweek 45
Jul 18, 2020 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
RL

Blackburn
4 - 3
Reading

Brereton (3'), Armstrong (6'), Rothwell (56'), Gallagher (87')
Davenport (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Swift (15'), Baldock (64'), Meite (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawReading
38.34%26.9%34.76%
Both teams to score 51.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.94%54.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.52%75.48%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58%27.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1%62.89%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44%29.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41%65.58%
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 38.33%
    Reading 34.76%
    Draw 26.9%
Blackburn RoversDrawReading
1-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 6.79%
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.1%
2-2 @ 5.04%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 6.02%
1-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.76%


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