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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
M

Blackburn
1 - 2
Morecambe

Dolan (22')
Buckley (6'), Davenport (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stockton (52'), Phillips (84' pen.)
O'Connor (75'), Phillips (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMorecambe
50.5%23.97%25.53%
Both teams to score 55.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07%45.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76%68.24%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77%18.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.74%49.26%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05%31.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59%68.41%
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.5%
    Morecambe 25.53%
    Draw 23.97%
Blackburn RoversDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 50.5%
1-1 @ 11.31%
0-0 @ 5.83%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.65%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 25.53%

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