Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%).

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Newport County
35.74%	27.35%	36.91%

Both teams to score 49.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.23%

55.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.1%

76.9%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21%

29.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.13%

65.86%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92%

29.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.01%

64.99%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 35.73%

Newport County 36.9%

Draw 27.34%

Morecambe	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.73%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.9%