Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.