Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
