SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Oxford United |
39.49% ( -0.56) | 25.83% ( 0.16) | 34.67% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% ( -0.66) | 49.62% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% ( -0.59) | 71.64% ( 0.59) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( -0.59) | 24.74% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.7% ( -0.83) | 59.29% ( 0.82) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( -0.08) | 27.46% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( -0.1) | 62.95% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.69% Total : 39.49% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.67% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
