Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Preston North End |
45.35% ( -0.18) | 26.28% ( 0.1) | 28.37% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.45% ( -0.36) | 53.55% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.94% ( -0.3) | 75.06% ( 0.31) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.46% ( -0.24) | 23.54% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.4% ( -0.35) | 57.59% ( 0.35) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.25% ( -0.13) | 33.75% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.59% ( -0.14) | 70.41% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.35% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.37% |
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