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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ricoh Arena
BC

Coventry
1 - 4
Bristol City

Allen (62')
Walker (34')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Naismith (12'), Conway (18', 30'), Weimann (90+4')
Vyner (1'), Scott (90+6')

We said: Coventry City 2-1 Bristol City

Playing one less fixture at this stage of the season may prove to be detrimental in terms of match fitness. Nevertheless, that will only mean that Coventry are more likely to field a stronger side, leading us to predict a Sky Blues success by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Coventry CityDrawBristol City
44.47% (1.088 1.09) 26.35% (0.361 0.36) 29.18% (-1.454 -1.45)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-1.877 -1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.57% (-2.077 -2.08)53.43% (2.074 2.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04% (-1.786 -1.79)74.96% (1.782 1.78)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (-0.379 -0.38)23.91% (0.375 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (-0.544 -0.54)58.12% (0.54 0.54)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92% (-2.125 -2.13)33.07% (2.122 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (-2.422 -2.42)69.67% (2.417 2.42)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 44.47%
    Bristol City 29.18%
    Draw 26.35%
Coventry CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.78 0.78)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.473 0.47)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.185 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.47%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.624 0.62)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.287 -0.29)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.207 0.21)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.321 -0.32)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.279 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Coventry
Sunday, July 31 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Walsall 0-3 Coventry
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-3 Coventry
Friday, July 8 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Leamington 1-3 Coventry
Saturday, July 2 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bristol City 2-3 Sunderland
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bristol City 2-2 Exeter
Tuesday, July 19 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bristol City 3-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, July 19 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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