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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
LC

Doncaster
0 - 3
Lincoln


Ravenhill (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kendall (12'), Bishop (47'), Scully (61')

We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Lincoln City

Doncaster now operate in the league below Lincoln, but it is difficult to ignore their record against Tuesday's opponents when picking a winner here. Neither side will be at full strength, but we are backing Doncaster to emerge victorious by the narrowest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawLincoln City
25.9% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.25% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 48.84% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98% (0.055 0.05)51.02% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (0.049999999999997 0.05)72.88% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (0.0019999999999953 0)34.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (0.043999999999997 0.04)20.91% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (0.070999999999998 0.07)53.63% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 25.9%
    Lincoln City 48.83%
    Draw 25.25%
Doncaster RoversDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 25.9%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 8.8% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-3 @ 4.9% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.59% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 48.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Sutton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-2 Rotherham
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Blackburn
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lincoln 0-6 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, July 12 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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