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League One | Gameweek 23
Feb 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
DR

Lincoln
0 - 1
Doncaster


Walsh (73')
Walsh (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gardner (75' pen.)
Mitchell (90+3')

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Doncaster Rovers

This is a very, very important match for both sides at this stage of the season, and both managers will be wary of what a defeat could mean. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away win, but we are struggling to separate the two sides and have ultimately had to settle on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawDoncaster Rovers
61.78%22.25%15.97%
Both teams to score 46.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31%50.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4%72.6%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09%15.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83%45.17%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.43%44.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.41%80.59%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 61.77%
    Doncaster Rovers 15.97%
    Draw 22.25%
Lincoln CityDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 13.03%
2-0 @ 11.98%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.4%
5-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 61.77%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 5.73%
1-2 @ 4.26%
0-2 @ 2.32%
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 15.97%

Read more!
Read more!


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