Despite being likely to change almost their entire XI, we expect Brighton to have too much quality for their opponents. With both sides utilising 3-5-2 formations, it is unlikely to be a goal-fest, especially with the Seagulls potentially taking their foot off the gas if they can get the job done early. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
31.36% ( 0.42)	25.11% ( 0.17)	43.53% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 56% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.65% (

-0.56)

47.35% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.43% (

-0.52)

69.57% (

0.52)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56% (

28.44% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.8%

64.2% (

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

-0.5)

21.75% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.07% (

-0.77)

54.93% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 31.37%

Brighton & Hove Albion 43.53%

Draw 25.11%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.37%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.53%