SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Oxford United | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Forest Green Rovers | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Cheltenham Town | 5 | -3 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
31.36% ( 0.42) | 25.11% ( 0.17) | 43.53% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.65% ( -0.56) | 47.35% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% ( -0.52) | 69.57% ( 0.52) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( 0) | 28.44% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% | 64.2% ( 0) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( -0.5) | 21.75% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.07% ( -0.77) | 54.93% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.37% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.53% |
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