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League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
PA

Forest Green
0 - 3
Plymouth


Hendry (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Azaz (18'), Mumba (27'), Ennis (61')
Mumba (84')
Coverage of the League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Plymouth Argyle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawPlymouth Argyle
48.46% (3.461 3.46) 26.32% (-0.668 -0.67) 25.22% (-2.788 -2.79)
Both teams to score 48.13% (-0.187 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.35% (0.799 0.8)55.65% (-0.794 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.2% (0.651 0.65)76.8% (-0.645 -0.64)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (1.991 1.99)23% (-1.984 -1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (2.84 2.84)56.8% (-2.834 -2.83)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (-1.906 -1.91)37.49% (1.912 1.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (-1.918 -1.92)74.27% (1.924 1.92)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 48.46%
    Plymouth Argyle 25.22%
    Draw 26.32%
Forest Green RoversDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 12.67% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.762 0.76)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.301 0.3)
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.61 0.61)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.392 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.306 0.31)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.228 0.23)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.267 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.46% (-0.727 -0.73)
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.484 -0.48)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.597 -0.6)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.278 -0.28)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 25.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 2-0 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Forest Green
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol City 3-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, July 19 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Forest Green
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Charlton 5-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Peterborough
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Peterborough
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Barnsley
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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