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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
The John Smith's Stadium
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Huddersfield
2 - 3
Middlesbrough

Harratt (4'), Hudlin (90+4')
Ayina (90+5')
Headley (13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Silvera (20'), Jones (63'), McGree (82')
Payero (19'), Crooks (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Huddersfield Town 0-1 Middlesbrough

It is difficult to know exactly what to expect from this match, as both managers will make wholesale changes from Saturday's Championship openers. Middlesbrough arguably have the greater strength in depth, though, and we are backing Carrick's side to emerge victorious in order to progress to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Huddersfield Town had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Huddersfield Town win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Huddersfield TownDrawMiddlesbrough
21.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 22.91%55.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.87% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)44.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.29%
Huddersfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)34.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)71.28% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (0.0049999999999955 0)16.15% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)45.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Huddersfield Town 21.91%
    Middlesbrough 55.18%
    Draw 22.9%
Huddersfield TownDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 5.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.74%
2-0 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.85%
3-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 21.91%
1-1 @ 10.81%
0-0 @ 5.58%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 9.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.18%
1-4 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.45%
1-5 @ 1%
0-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 55.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Tavistock 0-0 Huddersfield
Wednesday, July 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Reading
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Sheff Utd
Thursday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Huddersfield
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Auxerre
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bradford 3-3 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Betis
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: York City 0-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, July 15 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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