MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 21:57:56
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Thursday, March 28
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ML
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
CU

Millwall
3 - 1
Cambridge

Wallace (39', 42'), Smith (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Williams (33')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCambridge United
48.23%25.43%26.33%
Both teams to score 51.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.56%51.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.75%73.25%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66%21.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7%54.3%
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.74%34.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.04%70.95%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 48.23%
    Cambridge United 26.33%
    Draw 25.43%
MillwallDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 8.72%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 48.23%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 6.48%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 26.33%

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