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ML
Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
FL

Millwall
1 - 2
Fulham

Afobe (87')
Romeo (19'), Malone (54'), Evans (88'), Cooper (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mitrovic (3'), Carvalho (8')
Mitrovic (90+3'), Gazzaniga (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawFulham
27.41%24.91%47.68%
Both teams to score 54.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.46%48.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.33%70.66%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14%31.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7%68.3%
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6%20.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.18%52.82%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 27.41%
    Fulham 47.68%
    Draw 24.9%
MillwallDrawFulham
1-0 @ 7.43%
2-1 @ 6.76%
2-0 @ 4.25%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.41%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.5%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 8.21%
1-3 @ 4.98%
0-3 @ 4.35%
2-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.98%
0-4 @ 1.73%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 47.68%

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