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OU
EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
AW

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Oxford Utd win 4-3 on penalties
Brannagan (63')
FT
(aet)
Taylor (67' og.)
Hartigan (61')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Oxford United and AFC Wimbledon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.63%).

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
60.06%22.17%17.76%
Both teams to score 50.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53%47.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31%69.69%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61%15.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81%44.19%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6%40.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98%77.02%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 60.05%
    AFC Wimbledon 17.76%
    Draw 22.17%
Oxford UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.63%
2-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.79%
3-1 @ 6.16%
4-0 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-2 @ 1.31%
5-0 @ 1.19%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 60.05%
1-1 @ 10.54%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.17%
0-1 @ 5.63%
1-2 @ 4.78%
0-2 @ 2.55%
1-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2%
Total : 17.76%


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