Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.