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PA
EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Home Park
QL

Plymouth
3 - 2
QPR

Edwards (32'), Mayor (55'), Nouble (78')
Nouble (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manning (2'), Kakay (57')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 51.73%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawQueens Park Rangers
51.73%23.65%24.62%
Both teams to score 55.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.65%45.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31%67.69%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45%17.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92%48.08%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61%32.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09%68.91%
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 51.73%
    Queens Park Rangers 24.62%
    Draw 23.65%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 5.63%
3-0 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 2.45%
4-0 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 51.73%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 5.68%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 6.41%
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 24.62%


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