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QL
Championship | Gameweek 45
Jul 18, 2020 at 3pm UK
Loftus Road Stadium
ML

QPR
4 - 3
Millwall

Masterson (43'), Manning (52'), Eze (62'), Kane (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Smith (49'), Hutchinson (67'), Molumby (90+7')
Cooper (20')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawMillwall
34.08%25.76%40.16%
Both teams to score 54.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.61%49.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57%71.43%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29%27.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73%63.26%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72%24.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35%58.65%
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 34.08%
    Millwall 40.16%
    Draw 25.76%
Queens Park RangersDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.08%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 6.73%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 9.52%
1-2 @ 8.65%
0-2 @ 6.74%
1-3 @ 4.08%
0-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.16%


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