Salford City
1 - 1
Rotherham

Salford City win 4-2 on penalties

Henderson (84' pen.)

FT
(aet)

Crooks (90+6')
Blackman (83')

Graham Alexander: 'We must concentrate on League Two'

The Match

Match Report

The Carabao Cup tie had ended 1-1 before the home side triumphed on spot-kicks.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%).

Result
Salford City	Draw	Rotherham United
26.24%	24.32%	49.43%

Both teams to score 55.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.1%

46.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.85%

69.15%

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1%

31.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.65%

68.35%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.98%

19.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.41%

50.59%

Score Analysis

Salford City 26.24%

Rotherham United 49.43%

Draw 24.32%

Salford City	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 6.93% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.69% Total : 26.24%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-2 @ 8.36% 1-3 @ 5.28% 0-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.18% Total : 49.43%