Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Crystal Palace
43.46%	25.14%	31.4%

Both teams to score 55.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.53%

47.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.32%

69.68%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.17%

21.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.95%

55.05%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53%

28.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76%

64.24%

Score Analysis

Watford 43.46%

Crystal Palace 31.4%

Draw 25.14%

Watford	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.46%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.4%