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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
The Hawthorns
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West Brom
0 - 6
Arsenal


de Castro (2')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Aubameyang (17', 45', 62'), Pepe (45+1'), Saka (50'), Lacazette (69')
Holding (27'), Kolasinac (39')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 0-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 2-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawArsenal
19.5%21.28%59.21%
Both teams to score 56.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.14%40.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.75%63.25%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4%34.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68%71.32%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53%13.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.52%40.48%
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 19.5%
    Arsenal 59.21%
    Draw 21.28%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 5.26%
1-0 @ 4.95%
2-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 1.87%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.5%
1-1 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 5.28%
0-0 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.28%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.37%
0-1 @ 9.34%
1-3 @ 6.64%
0-3 @ 6.26%
2-3 @ 3.53%
1-4 @ 3.33%
0-4 @ 3.14%
2-4 @ 1.77%
1-5 @ 1.34%
0-5 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 59.21%

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