Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.