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EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 8, 2020 at 6pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 0
Arsenal U21s

Longman (67'), Osew (73'), Pigott (90+3')
Pigott (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Akinola (70'), Azeez (74'), Saliba (74'), Lopez (86')
Akinola (80')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between AFC Wimbledon and Arsenal Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 79.7%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 6.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.06%) and 0-1 (11.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawArsenal Under-21s
6.43%13.86%79.7%
Both teams to score 40.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.92%40.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.55%62.45%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.87%56.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.45%88.55%
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.99%8.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.77%28.23%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 6.43%
    Arsenal Under-21s 79.7%
    Draw 13.86%
AFC WimbledonDrawArsenal Under-21s
1-0 @ 2.6%
2-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 6.43%
1-1 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.5%
2-2 @ 2.39%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 13.86%
0-2 @ 14.33%
0-3 @ 12.06%
0-1 @ 11.35%
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-4 @ 7.61%
1-3 @ 6.97%
1-4 @ 4.4%
0-5 @ 3.84%
1-5 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-6 @ 1.62%
2-4 @ 1.27%
1-6 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 79.7%

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